1 – TRADITIONAL PENSION V PROPERTY PENSION
Pensions are a numbers game.
But its not about how much you put away for retirement. You can heavily contribute to an pension investment fund and it can return you very little in the long term – no matter how many tax breaks, frills or top-ups you receive. There is no come-back or guarantee – it’s your loss! There are tax breaks, frills and top-ups there to entice you in to investing in companies which prop up our economy but have no real strategy in providing you with a real long term income that is related to your lifestyle or even your contributions.
I can already hear you say – what a cynic! But if you understand the principles involved you may change your opinion. I am going to show you in words, pictures and numbers how property is a better way to invest for your retirement than any other method suggested by below. Its important to understand why:
You may think this is a tall order. But if you take the time to really understand how long term income is created you will realise that what I first say, that pensions is a numbers game, is a true statement and you will laugh at what is currently offered to you as a ‘pension’ from a traditional pension provider.
Traditional Pension Providers
There are three broad categories of traditional pension providers:
Okay, so what is so bad about the traditional providers? Well lets look at what they offer:
How A Traditional Pension And A Property Pension Work
The only real competitor to a property pension is a pension offered by a pension company. So it makes sense to look into how both these pensions work and how they compare. Can I warn you that the numbers get quite complex if you’re not that numerate. I’ve tried to keep it as simple as possible so bear with me. I guess the reason why so many people have been duped by the pension companies is because of this very fact! It is easy to get blinded by the science.
Lets look at a traditional pension.
Traditional Pension
Joe is 41. He works in an office earning £30,000 per year and is a basic rate tax payer. He decides to take out a private pension. He comes across a reputable firm offering:
Management Fee 1%
Estimated Growth 5%
A management fee is the charge a pension company charge to you for managing your money. This seems reasonable from their side as no one would do this for nothing. They invest your money in so called ‘safe’ investments such as cash deposits, bonds and shares. Some pension fund managers are very good at what they do (even though they are an exception) and are well worth their charge as they can out perform the general market.
Estimated growth is how much the fund manager thinks he can make your money grow. If current rates offered by building societies are 2.5% then a 5% growth is very attractive as it is double what is being offered from a bank or building society. If you took in to account the tax breaks then it seems even more attractive.
Lets assume that the pension company actually achieve their estimated growth target of 5% year on year. If Joe invested £100 per month, increasing his contribution by 4.25% year on year his personal contribution, government contribution and fund value would be:
So Joe’s pension fund at his chosen age of retirement, 65, is £111,814. Then Joe has to purchase an annuity, which is a guaranteed annual income till his death, with his pension fund. AXA Sunlife offer £45.78 annual income for every £1,000. So Joe’s annual income in retirement is:
£45.78 x £111,814/1000 = £5,118.84 p.a. (say £5,119)
Looking at this by way of pictures:
Now let me draw your attention to 2 key figures – what you put in and what you get out:
These should really be the only 2 figures you should be interested in. These 2 key figures can only ever be the most important figures in the whole pension equation. In fact, these 2 figures are always the key indicators whenever a business person appraises the likely success of a potential investment. A pension fund is an investment so there should be no other way to look at the performance of it.
What you put in is totally within your control. Therefore this number is known. It is for you to decide how much you should put away for your retirement. You can be advised on how much you should put away but no one can guarantee what you’ll get out of it. However, you can be assured that most sane people want to put the least away for the most gain.
What you get out is totally out of your control. Unless you have taken out a guaranteed benefit pension (which guarantees a fraction of your final salary, usually two thirds) which is hugely expensive and normally only available to executive directors, you will have no idea what your pension fund and thus your annual income will be. You can only ever estimate what you’ll get out with the accuracy of your estimation increasing as you get closer to the maturity date.
So in the above traditional pension Joe put in £51,692 and he’s got out £5,119 p.a. He may get £1,000 p.a. or he may get £10,000 p.a. depending on the performance of his pension fund. But at 5% growth rates he has got roughly 10% of his contributions as an annual income, being £51,692 contributions and £5,119 annual income. Now we can’t say that’s good or bad unless we have an alternative to compare to.
Now lets look at a property pension. More importantly – what you put in and what you get out.
Property Pension
So what’s a property pension? Well the name suggests it all! It’s a fund invested in property that delivers an income from the rent derived from these properties. In other words retirement income from rent. But why is a property pension better than a traditional pension? It has nothing to do with the past. Its to do with the present and the future. If we were to get in to a game of how pension funds have out performed property or the other way round then we would go nowhere. The reason for this is because its historic. Look at this table:
Both have done well but it depends on which time frame you look at. Over 15 & 20 years pension funds win but over 5 & 10 years property win! So it depends on what time frame you look at. The only common thing between these figures are that they all happened in the past. The only people that benefited form these are the people that made these investments. The key to understanding how you can always win with property is to understand the concept of gearing. Or in other words having the ability to borrow.
The mortgage market has changed dramatically. It is now possible to buy a property with the lender’s money based on the rental income only. So you are not expected to earn a certain salary to obtain a buy-to-let mortgage of up to £500,000. The only problem is you need a larger deposit compared to the traditional 5% deposit for a residential mortgage. The least you need is 15% deposit but in some cases you need 30%. Due to the introduction of the buy-to-let mortgage house prices have risen way above wage inflation rates. This is because property prices are now determined by the rental value of the home rather than its desirability.
So lets look at the cashflows. Jill is 41. She works in an office earning £30,000 per year and is a basic rate tax payer. She decides to build a property pension. She can afford to save £100 per month to build a deposit and buy a property costing £30,000. She can rent it out for £2,400 per year which equates to 8% of the purchase price i.e. 8% yield. She decides to buy a property every time she saves up enough for a deposit.
Now I’m going to have to hold your hand through these figures! Jill buys 4 properties over the 25 years with property values rising 5% every year (the same growth rate as the pension fund). She rents them out and allows a 20% loss of rent due to agent’s fees, void periods and repairs. Allowing for this she gets an annual profit rising every time she buys a property and allowing for rent inflation (applied every 5 years). So the annual profits after tax (basic rate 21% - expected for 2005) are calculated from the following table:
Now having calculated the figures above we can derive the key figures in building a comparison with a traditional pension. The key figures being:
So Jill’s property pension fund is £181,721 being the value of the properties less the mortgage debt. But just like the traditional pension fund we have assumed a 5% growth in property prices. Now, I am not a fortune teller, so I have no idea what the growth rate will be averaged out over the next 25 years. Even though a property pension fund is greater than a traditional pension after tax at the same growth rates (£181,721 v £111,814) - the great thing is that IT DOESN’T MATTER!
So why doesn’t it matter? The 5% growth is nice and probably realistic but it doesn’t provide us with an income. What we’re interested in is the rental income. The key figures you should be looking at are the 2 key figures I talked about earlier. Let me remind you – what you put in and what you get out! So here’s what we’ve put in and what we’ve got out:
So with a property pension you actually get money back! What you put in is a negative amount. Your investment in property by way of deposits and fees are replenished by the profits made in property and more. Being prudent, lets assume that the profit just covers the deposit and fees only. This means that over the 25 years what you have put in is still only NIL!
So what have you got out of it? Well a nice income of over £10,000 p.a. which is twice as much as what a traditional pension can offer. And this income is not just for your life but for your descendents after your death as the properties pass to your beneficiaries in your will.
If you do want a risk free pension and want to purchase an annuity then the net value of the properties does matter because you have to sell the properties. The beauty of property is that you can sell when you want to. So you can sell when the market is high or hold when the market is low. The market could be high enough to sell within 15 years of you making the first property purchase or you may have to wait 30 years. Assuming the property portfolio does perform at 5% growth p.a. then the net fund after tax will be:
Proceeds of Property Sales £334,316
Purchase Prices £179,523
Profit £154,793
Tax Relief (£61,917)
Chargeable Gain £92,876
@40% £37,150
So net proceeds will be:
Proceeds of Property Sales £334,316
Tax Bill (£37,150)
Net Proceeds before Mortgage Debt £297,166
Mortgage Debt (£152,595)
Net Proceeds £144,571
Using the same annuity rates as above of £45.78 per £1,000 the risk free pension till death is:
£144,571 x £45.78 / 1000 = £6,618.44 p.a.
Comparison Tables
So lets look at a proper comparison table of the figures:
I hope that you can clearly see that property pensions out perform traditional pensions quite astronomically even with all the tax breaks. This is because you essentially put no money in and get more out! Even if the traditional fund did return you a higher income the property pension would win as you haven’t put anything in!
This is why traditional pensions are a joke.
But it doesn’t stop there! Its not only the numbers that make a good case for a property pension. There are other factors that make a property pension superior to a traditional pension which are in part drawn out from the figures above. Look at this table:
Assumptions
Now there have been a number of assumptions made in deriving these calculations. These are necessary otherwise we could not build a picture of your future income. Here are a list of the assumptions I have taken for each type of pension, how reasonable they are and how relevant they are to the overall performance of each.
Its up to you to think are these assumptions reasonable and/or relevant? Try flexing the numbers to see what other results you get. Do whatever it takes for you to come to a decision on whether what I’m saying has some basis or is fundamentally flawed due to very relevant omissions. Until you do this you will always be waivering between traditional pension funds or property pension funds or even something else! - and always kicking yourself for not making the right decision when one of them booms.
Risks v Returns
So we have established the returns to be had from a traditional pension and a property pension but what are the risks and are they worth it? Lets look at the risks for each one.
The Risks Involved In Investing In Property
They’re a number of fears that people have which are fully justified. They are not dissimilar to what business people face when appraising a potential investment. These are called risks. The difference between the ordinary person and a business person is that a business person:
So to build a property pension you need to:
Fortunately for you I’m not going to ask you to think up all the fears involved, how to overcome these fears and calculate the overall fear factor. I am going to tell you this!
Unfortunately for you I am not going to decide for you whether to build a property pension or not because I am not you! However, I will present a very strong case to you and I will recommend that you build one - but the ultimate decision rests with you.
The Fears and How To Overcome Them
With every fear you can take what I call Countermeasures which overcome each fear. A countermeasure is an action you take to counteract each fear. No countermeasure is fool-proof otherwise the fear would not be a fear purely by its definition as it could be fully overcome.
There will still always be an overhang of fear albeit a lot less than the starting fear. This is what I call Residual Fear. The residual fear is therefore still present even after the countermeasure and thus is a real fear. You can take further countermeasures to reduce this residual fear but it depends on how far you want to go.
There will always be residual fear however. An example of residual fear that cannot be eliminated is the destruction of your property if there was a war. No insurance company will take on this risk. The only way you could mitigate this risk would be to build a bomb proof shell around your property – but this would be impractical and probably cost more than your property itself!
The fears, countermeasures and residual fears in buying a property are:
Overall Fear
To calculate your overall fear is to gather all the residual fears that remain. To do this you:
So for example if you had the following fears and were willing to take the following countermeasures then your overall fear is all the contents of the residual fear column:
So the overall fear is the total of the residual fear column being:
You have to make an estimation of how likely these fears will materialise and are the rewards in investing in a property pension are compensatory enough. If you are happy with this overall fear then you will invest in property. If you are not then you won’t. If you are not happy with the overall fear then I suggest you take more countermeasures so that your overall fear is reduced. Reduced to a level that you are happy with so you are comfortable in investing in property.
The Risks Associated With A Traditional Pension Fund
Because you transfer a lot of your control over to the pension fund manager there are only two real risks:
So in summary you can either add to your fund or wait. These are the only two strategies you have!
So Are You Convinced?
Well I’ve laid out both arguments for you but its for you to come to a decision. Do you think property is better than traditional pension funds? I really want you to study this chapter as this is key to your motivation to build a property pension. Once you are convinced the motivation to build a property pension will be there. This is because you understand the uniqueness of property and how property is a superior investment to virtually any of the other investments out there.
The illustration above is only one strategy to achieve a property pension. There are many strategies you can adopt to achieve a retirement income but this all depends on YOU. It depends on how much you are willing to contribute, how much you want and when, your attitude to risk and your level of involvement. Lets look at this in more detail in the next chapter.